Potanin urges ‘wise’ response to sanctions
Don’t take us back 100 years, Potanin says
Debt coupon rules need to be changed
Confiscating the assets of companies that have fled Russia after the invasion of Ukraine would shatter investor confidence for decades and take Russia back to the calamitous days of the 1917 Bolshevik revolution, metals magnate Vladimir Potanin said.
Potanin, the biggest shareholder in Norilsk Nickel (GMKN.MM), the world’s largest producer of palladium and refined nickel, said Russia should respond with pragmatism to its exclusion from whole swathes of the global economy.
“We should not try to ‘slam the door’ but endeavour to preserve Russia’s economic position in those markets which we spent so long cultivating,” Potanin, the 61-year-old president of Norilsk Nickel, said on the Telegram messaging app.
Potanin said confiscating assets from companies that had left Russia would put the country out in the cold for investors for decades.
“It would take us back 100 years to 1917 and the consequences – a global lack of confidence in Russia from investors – we would feel for many decades,” Potanin said.
Russia’s economy is facing the gravest crisis since the 1991 fall of the Soviet Union after the West imposed heavy sanctions on almost the entire Russian financial and corporate system following Moscow’s Feb. 24 invasion of Ukraine.
Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin told President Vladimir Putin on Thursday that the government proposed putting companies that had left Russia into external administration.
The exact mechanisms of that are unclear, though there is a fierce debate within the Russian elite about how severe Moscow’s reaction to Western sanctions should be, officials and businessmen said.
Putin said Russia would remain open for business and did not intend to close itself off from those who still wanted to do business.
Many do not – at least for now.
BP said last month it was abandoning its stake in Russian oil producer Rosneft (ROSN.MM) while companies ranging from McDonald’s (MCD.N) and Coca-Cola Co (KO.N) to Toyota (7203.T) and IKEA have shuttered their businesses in Russia.
Potanin’s upbringing as the son of a high-ranking Soviet trade official and education at Moscow’s elite diplomatic academy has always set him slightly apart from other oligarchs who rose from rags to riches in the chaos of the 1990s.
The privatisation deals under President Boris Yeltsin gave Potanin and other oligarchs control over some of the best assets of a former superpower, though their clout was eroded under Putin as a new group of former spies put some of Russia’s biggest oil production units under state control.
Besides being the world’s largest producer of palladium and high-grade nickel, MMC Norilsk Nickel is a major producer of platinum and copper. It also produces cobalt, rhodium, silver, gold, iridium, ruthenium, selenium, tellurium and sulphur.
Potanin warned that some countries used sanctions as a way to edge out the competition so Moscow needed to make wise and thoughtful decisions.
He also called for removing foreign currency restrictions on paying coupons on Russia’s external debt which he said totalled $480 billion because a technical default on interest payments could, he said, allow demands for the full principal to be paid.
“This fully applies to major public companies,” Potanin said. Russia said on Sunday that sovereign bond payments will depend on sanctions.
“We see that the West’s own economies have suffered by imposing sanctions against Russia. So we must be wiser and avoid a scenario under which our sanctions hit us,” Potanin said.
Putin says the “special military operation” in Ukraine is essential to ensure Russian security after the United States enlarged the membership of NATO up to Russia’s borders and supported pro-Western leaders in Kyiv.
Ukraine says it is fighting for its existence while the United States and its European and Asian allies have condemned the Russian invasion. China has called for calm.